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Monday's Musings: What's Up With Big Tech Stocks? The Insider View For 2019

Big Tech Still Remains Attractive, Especially With The Recent Valuation Downgrade


Markets are still cautious.  Global outlook looks very different than the US outlook.  Actual economy and Wall Street remain disconnected.  Meanwhile, markets are trying to figure out a rational explanation of which one is the leading vs lagging indicator.  

Algo’s have been reset so we’re operating on different rules and they will be reset again.  Why Big Tech?  They play in a winner takes all market.  Apple and Google provide 99% of all the consumer software in the US.  Facebook, Google, and Amazon drive almost 63% of all advertising dollars
Tech is still strong with 20 to 40% growth. Investors will find it hard to find other asset allocation classes this good and this dominant.  

With valuations down, we can see the shift back to big tech in Q1 2019, especially now with depressed valuations. Everyone’s waiting the Q4 holiday numbers before making the plunge. So FAANG plus MIcrosoft, Adobe, Salesforce, ServiceNow, and Tesla are still all hot and Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent drive the China market.

As for the race to 1T in valuation, We’ll see a resurgence in 2019 of one of the FAANG’s plus Microsoft vie for the title. So here’s the run down:

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on December 24, 2018

Monday's Musings: Seven Common Failures Plague Board Room Strategy In Digital Transformation

Boardroom Failures Reflect Years Of Focus On EBIDTA and Return On Capital Faced with massive pressure to embark on their digital journey, boards and CEOs have sought case studies and examples of success to avail without realizing that each journey remains unique. While there are many proof of concepts in play, much of the innovation […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on May 7, 2018

Monday's Musings: Designing Five Pillars For Level 1 Artificial Intelligence Ethics

Focus On Humanizing AI As organizations begin their journey into artificial intelligence (AI), ethics often enter the design process.  While achieving a uniform set of ethics may seem insurmountable, some design points will help facilitate the humanization of artificial intelligence and provide appropriate checks and balances.  Constellation has identified design pillars for Level 1 AI.  […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on March 26, 2018

Research Report: Constellation's Futurist Framework (PESTEL) – The Societal Outlook Pre @Davos #WEF18

2018 Davos Focuses On Creating A Shared Future In A Fractured World The World Economic Forum (WEF) kicks off January 23rd to 26th in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland.  This year’s theme is about “Creating a Shared Future In A Fractured World”.  From the program notes for this year’s event, WEF sees the following: At the close of […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on January 18, 2018

Research Report: Constellation's Futurist Framework (PESTEL) – The Economic Outlook Pre @Davos #WEF18

2018 Davos Focuses On Creating A Shared Future In A Fractured World The World Economic Forum (WEF) kicks off January 23rd to 26th in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland.  This year’s theme is about “Creating a Shared Future In A Fractured World”.  From the program notes for this year’s event, WEF sees the following: At the close of […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on January 17, 2018

Research Report: Constellation's Futurist Framework (PESTEL) – The Political Outlook Pre @Davos #WEF18

2018 Davos Focuses On Creating A Shared Future In A Fractured World The World Economic Forum (WEF) kicks off January 23rd to 26th in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland.  This year’s theme is about “Creating a Shared Future In A Fractured World”.  From the program notes for this year’s event, WEF sees the following: At the close of […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on January 16, 2018

Monday's Musings: Part 1 of 4 – What Top CMO's Care About (Demand Gen Persona)

Top Trends for 2018 Highlight Greater Orchestration In March 2016, Constellation introduced four personas of the modern CMO (see Figure 1).  This framework provided CMO’s with a model to think about the role of strategy versus execution and audience development versus audience acquisition.   Over the past eight weeks, conversations with demand generation focused CMO’s […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on August 28, 2017

Monday's Musings: Dynamic Leadership – A Responsive And Responsible Approach #Davos #WEF17

Today’s Leadership Models Fail To Address Responsive And Responsible Leadership The World Economic Forum kicks off January 17th to 20th in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland. As the global theme for the annual meeting, responsive and responsible leadership begins a lofty conversation about the qualities required to bring generations together, create inclusiveness in growth opportunities, and to bridge […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on January 2, 2017

Monday’s Musings: Why A Bi-Modal Approach to Digital Transformation Is Just Stupid

Multi-Modal Approach Key to Successful Digital Transformation Like fake news, the over hyped, bi-modal approach to IT and digital transformation is a flawed fallacy perpetuated by ivory tower, non-pragmatic legacy research firms.  Lessons learned from successful digital transformation projects emphasize an organizational design comprised of six key virtual or physical teams (see Figure 1): Figure […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on December 12, 2016

Monday's Musings: Secrets Behind Building Any AI Driven Smart Service

AI Driven Smart Services Power The Future of IOT, CX,  Future of Work, and Block Chains The combination of machine learning, deep learning, natural language processing, and cognitive computing will change the ways that humans and machines interact with our environments.  AI-driven smart services will sense one’s surroundings, know one’s preferences are from  past behavior, […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on November 28, 2016

Research Summary: Samsung Galaxy Note7 More Enterprise-Ready Than Ever

Why Customers Will Benefit From Samsung’s Investment in Enterprise-Grade Mobile Solutions In Constellation’s surveys, mobile enablement continues to be the top priority for CXOs.  Unfortunately, concerns about enterprise-grade capabilities continue to hamper mobile adoption. Enterprise-class security, field-ready ruggedness, battery life, alternative user interfaces, payments and mobile wallets, dedicated enterprise sales and support, and industry-vertical focus […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on August 16, 2016

Monday's Musings: CXOs Seek Enterprise-Grade Mobile Solutions Despite Seven Barriers

Understand The Seven Barriers To Successful Enterprise Mobility Constellation’s annual survey of disruptive technologies among leading CXOs consistently places mobile enablement as a top three priority. In the 2016 survey, more than 58 percent of respondents revalidated that mobile enablement was their number one priority. Unfortunately, most CXOs and their organizations often find mobile solutions […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on August 16, 2016

Best Practices: Five Critical Success Factors To Digital Transformation

Digital Transformation Requires Five Critical Success Factors Over the past 24 months, Constellation’s clients have experienced closer collaboration between clients and their software vendors and service providers to craft solutions that may not have existed in the past.  This level of collaboration reflects the need for not only strategic differentiation, but also the desire to […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on July 10, 2016

Monday's Musings: The Post #BREXIT Analysis, What's Next?

UK Referendum Highlights Displeasure With Political Elites With almost 52% voting to leave, the surprise results of the June 23rd, 2016 referendum highlighted the 40 year shift from euro-centric to euro-skeptic among the average UK citizen (see Figure 1).  While many will attempt to blame the outcome on an ignorant non-urban voter, the results showed […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on June 27, 2016

Monday's Musings: Data – The Foundation Of Real-Time Digital Business

From Big Data to small data, the digital world measures and values every interaction. Digital technology enables every touch point, click, conversation, picture, and byte of digital exhaust to be used to improve decision-making. In fact, data provides the foundation for success in a real-time digital business. This is why organizations must carefully design a […]

Posted by R "Ray" Wang on May 23, 2016